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PILLAR 2 OF 5 · EXPOSURE AND FORESIGHT

See the exposure before it becomes an incident.

Anticipate brings asset, supplier, threat, vulnerability and scenario information into one risk picture—then quantifies the material exposure so leadership can choose a treatment.

Illustrative Falconry360 risk quantification workspace showing exposure, scenarios and priority treatments.Illustrative platform view
The risk view connects scenario assumptions to the assets, suppliers and controls that can change the outcome.

THE ROLE LENS

The CISO needs more than a heat map. The IT Head needs more than a severity score.

Anticipate lets the CISO explain exposure in business language, the DPO see where data risk concentrates and the IT Head prioritise the technical work that changes the risk.

CISO

Take an investment decision to the board.

Use FAIR-style quantification and calibrated scenarios to compare exposure with the cost and effect of treatment.

Exposure in decision language
DPO / PRIVACY LEAD

Find where sensitive data creates concentration.

Connect processing, transfers, suppliers and incidents to the scenarios that could create regulatory, customer or operational loss.

Privacy risk by context
IT HEAD / CIO

Prioritise what the estate needs next.

Rank vulnerabilities, cloud concentration, technical debt and supplier dependencies by the exposure they create for important services.

A risk-ranked work queue
PROCUREMENT / THIRD PARTY

See portfolio concentration, not isolated suppliers.

Tier suppliers by criticality, data exposure, substitutability and fourth-party dependency, with treatment actions linked to contracts and services.

Supply chain exposure visible

WHAT THE PLATFORM OPERATIONALISES

A forward-looking risk picture that can be acted on.

Anticipate is where the organisation moves from collecting signals to deciding what matters.

FAIR risk quantification

Decompose frequency and magnitude assumptions, run simulations and retain the evidence and confidence behind the estimate.

Scenario library and calibration

Maintain severe-but-plausible scenarios for ransomware, cloud loss, supplier outage, insider exfiltration, OT disruption and more.

Asset and service risk

Assess applications, infrastructure, data, OT and cloud assets in the context of business services and crown-jewel criticality.

Third-party and concentration risk

Tier suppliers, track data exposure and contract obligations, and view portfolio-level dependency and substitutability.

Threat and vulnerability intelligence

Map relevant intelligence and findings to assets, techniques, controls and owners so a new signal changes the treatment conversation.

Emerging technology risk

Track AI, cloud, geopolitical, OT convergence and other emerging risks as first-class records with defined treatment paths.

FROM RECORD TO ROUTINE

Turn uncertainty into a treatment choice.

The platform keeps the assumptions visible so the decision can be challenged and improved.

01

Discover the exposure

Ingest signals from assets, suppliers, incidents, intelligence and existing tools.

02

Calibrate the scenario

Set assumptions with practitioners and retain the source and confidence of each input.

03

Quantify and prioritise

Compare loss distributions, appetite and treatment options in a common language.

04

Assign treatment

Route the work to the owner, control, supplier or programme that can change the exposure.

05

Reforecast

Re-run the model as evidence, controls, incidents or business conditions change.

CONNECTED BY DESIGN

Anticipate makes the rest of the operating layer smarter.

Quantified risk gives Govern a better investment decision, Comply a better priority order, Withstand a better scenario set and Assure a better test plan.

LINKED RECORDS
  • Assets
  • Suppliers
  • Scenarios
  • Threats
  • Vulnerabilities

Every exposure can be traced to the records that create it and the controls or decisions that can reduce it.

FALCONRYX
  • Draft
  • Map
  • Flag

FalconryX can suggest scenario parameters from approved incident history and asset criticality, then flag assumptions that need practitioner review.

FALCONRYX · GOVERNED AI IN PRACTICE

Analysis accelerates. Practitioners own the assumptions.

FalconryX helps teams move from signals to structured scenarios and treatment options while keeping data sources, confidence and professional judgement visible.

AI ROLEDraft · Map · Flag

A named human reviews and approves.

CISO + RISK01

Build a first-pass risk scenario.

Use approved asset, incident, threat and supplier records to propose a severe-but-plausible scenario and the business services it could affect.

Human checkpoint · Risk owner confirms scope
QUANTIFICATION LEAD02

Challenge assumptions and data gaps.

Flag unsupported ranges, inconsistent inputs and missing evidence in FAIR-style frequency and magnitude estimates before simulation.

Human checkpoint · Practitioner calibrates
IT + SECURITY03

Connect a new signal to exposure.

Suggest links from a vulnerability, threat or supplier event to assets, services, controls and existing risk scenarios so prioritisation has context.

Human checkpoint · Technical owner validates
BOARD + INVESTMENT04

Compare treatment choices.

Prepare a narrative comparing cost, residual exposure and expected risk reduction using the approved model and treatment assumptions.

Human checkpoint · Leadership selects treatment
GOVERNED BY DESIGN

FalconryX works within tenant permissions and approved records. Sources and recommendations remain traceable, activity is logged, and no output becomes a decision, formal interpretation or assurance conclusion without named human approval.

REGULATORY AND STANDARDS ANCHORS

Start with the instruments you actually answer to.

Coverage is indicative until the client perimeter is confirmed. The applicable pack, mapping and ownership are agreed during scoping and maintained as the instruments change.

  • Open FAIR
  • ISO/IEC 27005
  • NIST SP 800-30
  • NIST CSF 2.0 · Identify
  • MITRE ATT&CK
  • NCA ECC · Risk Management
  • SAMA CSF · Cyber Risk Management
  • UK NCSC CAF · Objective A

See the framework library or review market coverage.

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